Inter-Election Vote Swings for the Turkish Ruling Party: The Impact of Economic Performance and Other Factors

Authors

  • Ali T. Akarca University of Illinois at Chicago

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12775/EQUIL2011.017

Keywords:

elections, vote swing, economic voting, economic performance, AKP, Turkey

Abstract

Inter-election vote swings for the AKP, the incumbent party inTurkey, during 2002, 2004, 2007, 2009 and 2011 elections are decomposed into parts attributable to economic conditions, strategic voting, cost of ruling, incumbency advantage, political realignment and other factors. For this purpose a vote equation, fitted to data covering twenty-seven National Assembly, Senate, and Provincial Council elections, held between 1950 and 2011 is used. The results show the pivotal role played by the economy on the political fortunes of incumbent parties.

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References

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Published

2011-09-30

How to Cite

Akarca, A. T. (2011). Inter-Election Vote Swings for the Turkish Ruling Party: The Impact of Economic Performance and Other Factors. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 6(3), 7–26. https://doi.org/10.12775/EQUIL2011.017

Issue

Section

The State and the Crisis

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