Econometric Analysis of the Factors of Long-term Unemployment in Poland

Authors

  • Dominik Śliwicki Statistical Office in Bydgoszcz

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12775/OeC.2013.012

Keywords:

long-term unemployment, logit econometric model

Abstract

Long-term unemployment that is lasting more than twelve months,a phenomenon described by the theory of economics as a manifestation of a permanentimbalance between labor supply and demand for labor. In fact, it bringsthe same negative effects both in terms of economic, social and individual sphere.As a result, it leads to the formation of pejorative phenomena and behavior. Tocounter these negative phenomena, public employment services in its terms ofreference have the early detection of people at risk of long-term unemployment andto take preventive measures.The purpose of this article is to present logit econometric models defining thefactors which have a significant impact on long-term unemployment. These modelscan be used to predict the probability of long-term unemployment at the microlevel, ie for a single person. Due to the fact that the survey methodology are two definitions of unemployment ? the first by the methodology of the Labour ForceSurvey, the second according to the law on employment promotion and labor marketinstitutions, one presented two models describing the probability of long-termunemployment and a comparative analysis.

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References

Aktywność Ekonomiczna Ludności Polski IV kwartał 2010, GUS, Warszawa.
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Published

2013-06-30

How to Cite

Śliwicki, D. (2013). Econometric Analysis of the Factors of Long-term Unemployment in Poland. Oeconomia Copernicana, 4(2), 39–56. https://doi.org/10.12775/OeC.2013.012

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